As you
know, there are tons of airlines and hotel chains, each with its own loyalty
program. Additionally there are many flexible rewards programs out there (think
Chase, American Express, Citi, etc). How do you value each of these points
programs? 80,000 points sounds like a lot, but if they are denominated in
Hilton Hhonor points, are they actually worth more than 30,000 Starpoints?
While there is a lot of math involved here, many of the assumptions are subjective. I will go over my reasoning for my valuations, but you will have to decide on your own. Your reasons for having different values may depend on your home airport, redemption values from your location, and travel goals.
While there is a lot of math involved here, many of the assumptions are subjective. I will go over my reasoning for my valuations, but you will have to decide on your own. Your reasons for having different values may depend on your home airport, redemption values from your location, and travel goals.
Conventional
wisdom is that each mile = 2 cents. While this may be a good rule of thumb to
live by at first, it is outdated info and may overvalue some airlines quite
significantly. Additionally, there is a difference between redemption value and
actual value of the miles. This comes from the fact that paid airline
tickets/hotel stays earn points while rewards do not. Also there can be fuel
surcharges, taxes, parking and resort fees that can be added to each reward redemption.
All of these factors need to be considered, so a flat valuation per currency is
not absolute but is more of a guideline to decide when to pursue different
points strategies.
I’m
just going to throw this table out there now with all my valuations and go over
some of my favorites one by one. Obviously there are many more, but these are
some programs that I personally have experience with.
Program
|
Value per mile
|
Flights
|
|
US Flexperks
|
0.019
|
British Airways Avios
|
0.018
|
American Airlines Advantage Miles
|
0.018
|
United Mileage Plus
|
0.016
|
Delta Skymiles
|
0.013
|
Hotels
|
|
Starpoints
|
0.0225
|
Hyatt Gold
|
0.014
|
Marriot
|
0.009
|
Wyndham Rewards
|
0.008
|
IHG Points
|
0.006
|
Hilton Hhonors
|
0.005
|
Flexible Currencies
|
|
Chase Ultimate Rewards
|
0.018
|
American Express Membership Rewards
|
0.017
|
Citi ThankYou Points
|
0.017
|
USBank
Flexperks
I probably shouldn’t be
starting with this one as it is one of the more complicated programs to evaluate,
but it was at the top of the list so here goes. Flexperks can be redeemed to
credit a paid airline flight in the following increments.
This
means that the theoretical maximum value obtained would be .02 per point
($400/20,000). The downside exists when you purchase a ticket for $401, which
costs you 30,000 Flexpoints. This is a redemption value of .013 ($401/30,000),
much less than optimal. The upside to Flexpoints though is that these purchases
earn frequent flier miles as they are an actual paid flight that is credited
back to you. Plus you have the added benefit of not having to scour the
internet for reward flights, you can just book whatever you please (as long as
the price is around the top of each tier). I personally value Flexpoints at
.019 as I would never redeem them at a lower value. That’s what British Airways
Avios are for.
British
Airways Avios
British Airways are infamous
for their outrageously high taxes/fuel surcharges whenever flying through
London. These fees can even make award flights more expensive than normal paid
flights, effectively nullifying their value. But the upside exists with their
travel partners. British Airways is part of the oneworld alliance, meaning you
can use British Airways Avios to fly American Airlines, Cathay Pacific,
Quantas, or any other oneworld partner. The appeal of Avios is that instead of
a revenue based program like Southwest, their chart is dependent upon distance
flown.
If you
are making a short hop (say between SLC and PHX) you only pay 4,500 miles one
way (plus TSA fees of $5.60). That makes short hop travel incredibly
inexpensive. You can even use this to your advantage if you live on the West
Coast and want to fly to Hawaii. Hawaii is just within 3,000 miles of PHX, so
you only pay 12,500 miles one way to get to Hawaii! In the end, Avios are a
great way to get cheap domestic short hop flights. I conservatively value them
at .018. Math:
Start
|
End
|
Miles
|
Surcharge?
|
BA Flight
|
Cheapest Flight
|
Mile value vs BA
|
Mile value vs Cheapest
|
Losing Miles
|
Losing CC Rewards
|
PHX
|
SEA (Seattle)
|
15,000
|
$11.20
|
$304.00
|
$304.00
|
$0.018
|
$0.019
|
1116
|
$6.08
|
PHX
|
BOS (Boston)
|
25,000
|
$11.20
|
$290.00
|
$290.00
|
$0.010
|
$0.011
|
2300
|
$5.80
|
PHX
|
SLC (Salt Lake City)
|
9,000
|
$11.20
|
$275.00
|
$275.00
|
$0.027
|
$0.029
|
600
|
$5.50
|
PHX
|
DTW (Detroit)
|
20,000
|
$11.20
|
$419.00
|
$419.00
|
$0.018
|
$0.020
|
1700
|
$8.38
|
PHX
|
CDG (Paris)
|
50,000
|
$654.00
|
$1,365.00
|
$1,102.00
|
$0.012
|
$0.008
|
5500
|
$27.30
|
PHX
|
HNL (Honolulu)
|
25,000
|
$11.20
|
$566.00
|
$557.00
|
$0.020
|
$0.021
|
2800
|
$11.32
|
Another great resource to see where you can fly on Avios by
price is here:
American Airlines Aadvantage Miles
Aadvantage miles are great
for international travel, especially to Europe. During off-peak you can get a
round trip ticket from the US to Europe for as little as 40,000 miles. This
ticket normally costs from $1100 to $1400, giving you a redemption value of
around .026. I conservatively value them at .018. Math:
Start
|
End
|
Miles
|
Surcharge?
|
AA Flight
|
Cheapest Flight
|
Mile value vs AA
|
Mile value vs Cheapest
|
Losing Miles
|
Losing CC Rewards
|
Depart
|
Return
|
PHX
|
SEA (Seattle)
|
25,000
|
$309.00
|
$304.00
|
$0.011
|
$0.012
|
2000
|
$6.18
|
10-Jun
|
17-Jun
|
|
PHX
|
BOS (Boston)
|
40,000
|
$399.00
|
$290.00
|
$0.009
|
$0.007
|
5000
|
$7.98
|
10-Jun
|
17-Jun
|
|
PHX
|
SLC (Salt Lake City)
|
25,000
|
$275.00
|
$275.00
|
$0.010
|
$0.011
|
1000
|
$5.50
|
10-Jun
|
17-Jun
|
|
PHX
|
DTW (Detroit)
|
40,000
|
$459.00
|
$419.00
|
$0.010
|
$0.010
|
4000
|
$9.18
|
10-Jun
|
17-Jun
|
|
PHX
|
CDG (Paris)
|
95,000
|
$89.10
|
$1,677.00
|
$1,532.00
|
$0.015
|
$0.015
|
10000
|
$33.54
|
10-Jun
|
17-Jun
|
PHX
|
CDG (Paris)
|
50,000
|
$89.10
|
$1,362.00
|
$1,210.00
|
$0.021
|
$0.022
|
10000
|
$27.24
|
14-Oct
|
21-Oct
|
PHX
|
CDG (Paris)
|
40,000
|
$53.80
|
$1,364.00
|
$1,102.00
|
$0.026
|
$0.026
|
10000
|
$27.28
|
20-Oct
|
27-Oct
|
Starwood Preferred Guest Starpoints
Starwood Preferred Guest
Starpoints are an interesting mix of hotel/flexible currency. They are
primarily used at Starwood properties (Sheraton, Westin, etc). However they
also have great transfer ratios when transferred to American Airlines at a 1.25:1
ratio. You can transfer 20,000 Starpoints to 25,000 American Aadvantage miles
at anytime. Additionally, they occasionally run promos like most recently when
20,000 Starpoints would equal 30,000 Aadvantage miles. Hence the minimum value
for Starpoints would be 1.25x my Aadvantage mile value of .018, giving us a
value of .0225 per Starpoint. Of
course the flexibility of Starpoints and their transfer programs makes them the
most valuable currency, however they are also the most difficult to obtain. The
only real way of obtaining them are through the SPG card through American
Express.
Chase Ultimate Rewards Points
Much
like Starpoints and other flexible currencies, Chase UR are great because they
can also be transferred to any of their 9 current transfer partners or
converted to cash at a .01 ratio ($100 = 10,000 points). My favorites transfer
partners are British Airways Avios and Hyatt Gold Passport points. Chase UR
points ultimately derive their maximum value from the best transfer partner
available. For me, this is the aforementioned British Airways Avios which I
value at .018. Given their flexibility, I should probably value them higher
than .018, but I like to be conservative in my approach so I will give them the
same .018 value.
How should you value your miles?
I
can’t answer this for you, but you can answer it for yourself. When deciding on
a points strategy it is imperative that you know the value of your chosen
currency before jumping in. I wouldn’t want you to overvalue those 80,000
Hilton points (value of $400) when 30,000 Starpoints (value of $675) can be
just as easily obtained with a different card.
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